How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
Updated 3 weeks ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 16, 2026
Polymarket prices a unanimous or near-consensus September hike at 39% for zero dissents, reflecting trader expectations that the three hawkish dissenters from July will unite with the majority on a rate increase widely priced into derivatives markets at 93% probability. The remaining 61% spreads across 2-, 3-, and 4-plus dissents, suggesting material uncertainty about whether dovish governors oppose a hike given recent labor market cooling and internal Fed division between inflation hawks and employment-focused members.
Before How many dissent at the September Fed meeting? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 0: 100%, 2: 22%, 3: 12%, 4+: 11%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
