How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
Updated 2 months ago
Winner: 10–15son Jun 18, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-05-14
Trump and Xi's handshake at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on May 14, 2026, was measured at approximately 10–15 seconds based on White House video footage, with some outlets reporting "around 10 seconds" and others citing "almost 15 seconds." Markets had priced this outcome at 29% the day before, making it a clear underdog win. The handshake featured Trump placing his left hand over Xi's and gently patting, described as marking a warmer tone compared to prior formal meetings.
Before How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 10–15s: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
3pp5pp6pp4pp10pp
