Bev Craig
Sian Astley
Marlon Scott West
Geraldine Coggins
Richard KilpatrickWinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-31
Bev Craig, Labour leader of Manchester City Council, was elected Mayor of Greater Manchester on July 30, 2026, succeeding Andy Burnham. Pre-election polling predicted Craig would win decisively with 62% to 38% in the second round against Reform UK's Sian Astley, and markets had her priced at 100% certainty the day before the election.
Before Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Bev Craig: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Updated 2 months ago
Winner: Bev Craigon Aug 1, 2026
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