Updated 6 days ago
If the Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Oct 4, 2026 is [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 15.6 resolved YES; 16.8 and above resolved NO — final value: 16on Oct 5, 2026
Before Google share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Above 13.1%: 99%, Above 15.6%: 99%, Above 11.8%: 99%, Above 14.4%: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
