Updated 1 week ago
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is [outcome] at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: 8.8%on Oct 4, 2026
Before Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 8.8%: 99%, 8.9%: 74%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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