Randy Fine
Aaron Baker
Dan BilzerianFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Updated 1 month ago
Winner: Randy Fineon Aug 19, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-18
Randy Fine won Florida's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, 2026, with approximately 56-57% of the vote, defeating challengers including Dan Bilzerian, Aaron Baker, and Charles Gambaro. Fine, the incumbent who prevailed in a 2025 special election, advanced to the November general election, confirming what markets had priced at 98% the day before.
Before FL-06 Republican Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Randy Fine: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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