Updated 4 months ago
Winner: United Stateson Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-12
The United States defeated Paraguay 4-1 in their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D opener at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on June 12, 2026. Striker Folarin Balogun scored twice in the first half, while an own goal by Paraguay's Damian Bobadilla and a late goal from Gio Reyna rounded out the victory for the host nation.
Before United States vs. Paraguay ended, the final Polymarket odds were: United States: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.