Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Belgiumon Jul 7, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-06
Belgium defeated the United States 4-1 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 on July 6, 2026, in Seattle, eliminating the tournament co-hosts from advancing. Charles De Ketelaere scored twice and assisted on a third goal as Belgium exposed defensive liabilities and dominated possession to advance to the quarterfinals, where they will face Spain.
Before United States vs. Belgium ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Belgium: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.