Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Spainon Jul 7, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-06
Spain defeated Portugal 1-0 in a FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match on July 6, 2026, with substitute Mikel Merino scoring in the 91st minute to send the European champions into the quarterfinals. The match, played at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, marked the likely end of Cristiano Ronaldo's World Cup career as the 41-year-old Portuguese superstar failed to find a breakthrough in what proved to be a tightly contested knockout encounter.
Before Portugal vs. Spain ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Spain: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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