Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Paraguay 0 - 1 Franceon Jul 5, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-04
France defeated Paraguay 1-0 in the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 on July 4, 2026, in Philadelphia. Kylian Mbappé scored the decisive 70th-minute penalty after Desire Doue was brought down, sending France to the quarterfinals for the fourth consecutive tournament and setting up a meeting with Morocco.
Before Paraguay vs. France - Exact Score ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Paraguay 0 - 1 France: 100%, Paraguay 0 - 2 France: 22%, Paraguay 0 - 0 France: 12%, Paraguay 0 - 3 France: 11%, Any Other Score: 8%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.