Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Franceon Jul 5, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-04
France defeated Paraguay 1-0 on July 4, 2026 in the World Cup Round of 16 at Philadelphia Stadium, advancing to the quarterfinals for the fourth consecutive World Cup. Kylian Mbappé scored the decisive goal from a 70th-minute penalty kick after Paraguay's Diego Gómez fouled substitute Désiré Doué, with Mbappé converting coolly past goalkeeper Orlando Gill.
Before Paraguay vs. France ended, the final Polymarket odds were: France: 100%, Draw (Paraguay vs. France): 6%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
