Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Norwayon Jun 23, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-23
Norway defeated Senegal 3-2 in a FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I match on June 23 at MetLife Stadium in New York. Erling Haaland scored twice to secure the victory and send Norway to the Round of 32 with one group match remaining, marking Norway's second consecutive World Cup win and their first advancement to the knockouts since 1998.
Before Norway vs. Senegal ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Norway: 100%, Senegal: 32%, Draw (Norway vs. Senegal): 28%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.