Updated 4 months ago
Winner: Mexicoon Jun 17, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-06-11
Mexico defeated South Africa 2-0 in the opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on June 11 at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, with goals from Julián Quiñones and Raúl Jiménez. The match was marked by historic drama, featuring three red cards—the first time three players have been sent off in a World Cup opening game—as Mexico ended its long World Cup opening-day losing streak.
Before Mexico vs. South Africa ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Mexico: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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