Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Englandon Jul 6, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-05
England defeated Mexico 3-2 in a thrilling FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 match on July 5 at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. Jude Bellingham scored twice in the first half and Harry Kane added a penalty goal, while England held on with 10 men after defender Jarell Quansah received a red card in the second half. England advanced to the quarterfinals to face Norway, handing Mexico their first World Cup loss at the Azteca in 40 years.
Before Mexico vs. England ended, the final Polymarket odds were: England: 77%, Draw (Mexico vs. England): 25%, Mexico: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
