Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Franceon Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-16
France defeated Senegal 3-1 in their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I opener on June 16, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Kylian Mbappé scored twice, with Bradley Barcola adding the third goal, extending France's dominance and allowing Mbappé to move past Olivier Giroud as France's all-time leading goalscorer.
Before France vs. Senegal ended, the final Polymarket odds were: France: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.