Updated 2 months ago
Winner: Spainon Jul 14, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-14
Spain defeated France 2-0 in the FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal at Dallas Stadium on July 14, with goals from Mikel Oyarzabal (penalty, 22') and Pedro Porro (58'). Spain's suffocating defense held France's high-powered offense to just 0.26 expected goals, advancing to the World Cup final for the first time since winning the tournament in 2010.
Before France vs. Spain ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Spain: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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