Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Spain 2 - 1 Belgiumon Jul 11, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-10
Spain defeated Belgium 2-1 on July 10, 2026, in a FIFA World Cup quarterfinal at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, advancing to the semifinals to face France. Fabián Ruiz and Mikel Merino scored for Spain, while Charles De Ketelaere equalized for Belgium, but a late substitute appearance by Merino in the 88th minute proved decisive as he capitalized on a goalkeeping error by replacement keeper Senne Lammens to secure the victory.
Before Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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