Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Spainon Jul 11, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-10
Spain defeated Belgium 2-1 in a 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal on July 10, with Mikel Merino scoring the decisive goal in the 88th minute. The match featured both teams' goals following goalkeeper errors on deflected shots, and Belgium's loss of starter Thibaut Courtois to injury in the 73rd minute proved costly. Spain advanced to the semifinals to face France.
Before Spain vs. Belgium ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Spain: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
