Updated 2 months ago
Winner: Draw (Spain vs. Argentina)on Jul 20, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-19
Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in extra time to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19 in New York. Ferran Torres scored the decisive goal in the 106th minute, with Argentina reduced to ten men after Enzo Fernández's red card in stoppage time. The victory gave Spain their second World Cup title, matching their 2010 triumph.
Before Spain vs. Argentina ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Draw (Spain vs. Argentina): 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
