Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Englandon Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-17
England defeated Croatia 4-2 on June 17, 2026, in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group L opener at Dallas Stadium. Captain Harry Kane scored twice to lead England's dominant performance in their opening match of the tournament.
Before England vs. Croatia ended, the final Polymarket odds were: England: 82%, Draw (England vs. Croatia): 16%, Croatia: 4%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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