Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Draw (Switzerland vs. Colombia)on Jul 8, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-07
Switzerland defeated Colombia 4-3 on penalty kicks in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 on July 7, 2026, after the match remained goalless through 120 minutes in Vancouver. Rubén Vargas scored the decisive penalty to send Switzerland to the quarterfinals, their first appearance in the last eight since 1954 when they hosted the tournament.
Before Switzerland vs. Colombia ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Draw (Switzerland vs. Colombia): 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.