Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Moroccoon Jul 5, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-04
Morocco defeated co-host Canada 3-0 in a FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 match on July 4 in Houston, advancing to the quarterfinals. Azzedine Ounahi scored twice in the second half, and substitute Soufiane Rahimi added a late third goal, while Canada's tournament run ended despite outshooting Morocco 8-4 overall. The result sent Morocco through to face France or Paraguay in the quarterfinals, extending their historic World Cup run.
Before Canada vs. Morocco ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Morocco: 73%, Draw (Canada vs. Morocco): 21%, Canada: 3%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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