Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Norwayon Jul 6, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-05
Norway defeated Brazil 2-1 in a 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match on July 5, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Erling Haaland scored two late goals in the 79th and 90th minutes to secure the upset victory, with Neymar's stoppage-time penalty proving only a consolation. Norway advanced to the World Cup quarterfinals for the first time in their history, while Brazil crashed out in the knockout stage—their earliest World Cup exit since 1990.
Before Brazil vs. Norway ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Draw (Brazil vs. Norway): 44%, Brazil: 43%, Norway: 14%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
