Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Argentinaon Jul 8, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-07
Argentina defeated Egypt 3-2 in a dramatic World Cup Round of 16 match on July 7, 2026, at Atlanta Stadium, advancing to the quarterfinals after a stunning late comeback. Down 2-0 with 11 minutes remaining, Argentina scored three consecutive goals with Cristian Romero and Lionel Messi equalizing before Enzo Fernandez headed the winning goal in stoppage time, sending the reigning champions through despite a determined Egyptian performance.
Before Argentina vs. Egypt ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Argentina: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.