Updated 3 months ago
Winner: No changeon Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-17
The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on June 17, 2026, in a unanimous 12-0 vote by the FOMC. The hold reflected elevated inflation pressures from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices alongside solid economic growth, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled in his first post-meeting press conference that nine of eighteen Fed officials project rate hikes in 2026 as inflation concerns mount.
Before Fed Decision in June? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: No change: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
