Updated 4 weeks ago
Every market on this event is off the board on Polymarket, with no outcome recorded yet. Prices below are the last traded values, not live odds.
What happened
Resolved 2026-09-06
Kimi Antonelli delivered a stunning upset by winning the 2026 Italian Grand Prix from 19th on the grid, an outcome the markets had priced at just 5% the day before while favoring George Russell at 50%. The 20-year-old Italian driver executed a remarkable comeback drive to pass Russell in the closing laps at Monza, becoming the first Italian to win his home race since 1966 and extending his championship lead to 66 points over his Mercedes teammate.
Before Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Kimi Antonelli: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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