Mercedes
Ferrari
McLaren
Red Bull Racing
HaasF1 Constructors' Champion
Updated 34m ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 30, 2026
Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors Championship with 425 points, 87 clear of Ferrari with 11 races remaining, reflecting both teams' dominance through the halfway point. McLaren claimed their first win of the season at Hungary and showed competitive pace with upgraded machinery, but their 263 points leaves them too far back for a realistic comeback. The market's 90/10/1/0 split between Mercedes, Ferrari, and McLaren tracks the real championship picture—a two-horse race with the favorite holding a commanding mid-season lead despite reliability issues and recent competition from the Papaya team.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for F1 Constructors' Champion are: Mercedes: 96%, Ferrari: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
F1 Constructors' Champion is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
