Updated 3 months ago
If England advance past Argentina in the England vs Argentina soccer match in the Semifinal of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Argentina advanceson Jul 15, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-15
Argentina advanced to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final with a dramatic 2-1 victory over England on July 15 in the semifinals at Atlanta Stadium. England led 1-0 through Anthony Gordon's 55th-minute goal, but Argentina mounted a stunning late rally with two goals in the final 15 minutes: Enzo Fernández equalized in the 85th minute and Lautaro Martínez scored the winner in stoppage time, both assisted by Lionel Messi. Argentina will face Spain in the World Cup final on Sunday seeking to defend its title.
Before England vs Argentina resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Argentina advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
