Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
Updated 3 months ago
Winner: <40on Jul 5, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-04
Elon Musk posted fewer than 40 times on X during the July 2-4, 2026 window, with the market resolving to the "<40" outcome at 100% probability on July 4. The Independence Day weekend kept Musk's posting volume suppressed despite his typical higher engagement during national holidays, favoring traders who bet on subdued tweet activity over the three-day period.
Before Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: <40: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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