Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %
Updated 5 hr ago
Every market on this event is off the board on Polymarket, with no outcome recorded yet. Prices below are the last traded values, not live odds.
What happened
Resolved 2026-08-13
Nigel Farage won the Clacton by-election on August 13, 2026, with 62.8 percent of the vote, confirming what markets had priced as a contested outcome at 38 percent the day before. The Reform UK leader's decisive victory came after he had triggered the by-election himself in protest over media and parliamentary scrutiny of donations from his backers.
Before Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Farage 60–70%: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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