Count Binface
Andrew Pemberton
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
Piers Corbyn
Adham AlkhatipMarket analysis
Analysis generated Aug 5, 2026
Polymarket prices Count Binface at 97% for second place in the Clacton by-election on 13 August, reflecting overwhelming trader consensus that the satirical candidate will be the only meaningful challenger to frontrunner Nigel Farage. The first constituency poll (Survation, 2 August) shows Farage at 73% and Binface at 20%, with no other candidate polling above 7% in a record 34-candidate field where Labour, Conservatives, Lib Dems and Greens have all boycotted. Binface's commanding odds price in his status as the sole high-profile anti-establishment option in an otherwise fragmented field of minor-party and independent challengers.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Clacton by-election: 2nd place are: Count Binface: 100%, Andrew Pemberton: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Clacton by-election: 2nd place is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
Updated 46m ago
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