Updated 3 months ago
Winners: ↓ $80, ↓ $70, ↓ $75, ↓ $85on Jul 1, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-30
Crude oil prices fell below $80 per barrel by the end of June 2026, with WTI trading around $69-$75 per barrel as a sharp selloff was triggered by U.S.-Iran ceasefire developments and progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The collapse of the geopolitical risk premium unwound nearly all the prior gains from a period when prices had spiked above $100 earlier in the year amid Middle East supply disruptions.
Before Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: ↓ $80: 100%, ↓ $70: 100%, ↓ $75: 100%, ↓ $85: 94%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
