Updated 1 week ago
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 94249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 85750 resolved YES; 86000 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 85750–86000 bandon Oct 4, 2026
Before BTC price on Oct 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: $82,750 or above: 99%, $82,250 or above: 99%, $83,000 or above: 99%, $82,500 or above: 99%, $82,000 or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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