
Updated 6 days ago
Winner: 44-47%on Oct 6, 2026
Before Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 44-47%: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.