Bitcoin price on September 4?
Updated 1 month ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 4, 2026
Bitcoin is trading near $81,240 on September 4 after a sharp two-day rally, far above the 78,000-80,000 band priced at 92% on Polymarket, meaning the market is pricing a closing drop to that range by day-end. The rebound was sparked by Fed Governor Chris Waller's signal of potential rate holds, triggering the largest spot ETF inflows in nine months, but macro headwinds—oil prices above $95, inflation concerns, and still-elevated Fed rate-hike odds—create resistance at current levels, keeping the overnight jump vulnerable to mean reversion.
Before Bitcoin price on September 4? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 82,000-84,000: 21%, 78,000-80,000: 11%, 84,000-86,000: 3%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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