Updated 5 days ago
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 7 PM EDT is above 85799.99 at 7 PM EDT on Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 81100 resolved YES; 81200 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 81100–81200 bandon Sep 3, 2026
Before BTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 7pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: $80,300 or above: 99%, $80,700 or above: 99%, $80,500 or above: 99%, $81,000 or above: 99%, $81,100 or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.