Updated 2 weeks ago
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 7 PM EDT is above 80799.99 at 7 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Thresholds up through 78400 resolved YES; 78500 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 78400–78500 bandon Aug 21, 2026
Before BTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 7pm EDT? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: $78,000 or above: 99%, $77,800 or above: 99%, $78,400 or above: 99%, $76,400 or above: 99%, $77,600 or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.