Updated 4 weeks ago
Thresholds up through 78000 resolved YES; 80000 and above resolved NO — placing the final value in the 78000–80000 bandon Sep 9, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-09-08
Bitcoin closed above $72,000 on September 8, 2026, settling in the $78,000 to $80,000 range. The outcome confirmed what prediction markets had priced as virtually certain the day before at 100%, with no surprise to the markets.
Before Bitcoin above ___ on September 8? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 72,000: 100%, 68,000: 100%, 70,000: 100%, 74,000: 100%, 78,000: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
8pp
