Updated 2 months ago
If Tie is the result of the Belgium vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Tieon Jul 1, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-01
Belgium defeated Senegal 3-2 after extra time in a World Cup round-of-32 match on July 1, 2026, with Youri Tielemans scoring a dramatic 125th-minute penalty after Belgium fought back from 2-0 down in the final minutes. Habib Diarra and Ismaila Sarr gave Senegal a deserved two-goal lead, but Romelu Lukaku and Tielemans scored twice in the last four minutes of regular time to force extra time before Tielemans' late penalty sealed one of the tournament's greatest comebacks.
Before Belgium vs Senegal: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Tie: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
