Updated 2 months ago
If Senegal advance past Belgium in the Belgium vs Senegal soccer tie in the Round Of 32 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Belgium advanceson Jul 1, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-07-01
Belgium advanced from their World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match against Senegal with a dramatic 3-2 extra-time victory on July 1 in Seattle. Trailing 2-0 with five minutes remaining in regular time, Belgium scored twice to force extra time, then won on a controversial penalty converted by Youri Tielemans in the 125th minute—the latest goal in World Cup history. The victory capped one of the tournament's great comebacks.
Before Belgium vs Senegal resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Belgium advances: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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