Updated 3 months ago
If Tie is the result of the Argentina vs Switzerland professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Reg Time: Tieon Jul 12, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-07-12
Argentina and Switzerland finished regulation time tied 1-1 in the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal on July 12, 2026. Argentina scored first through Alexis Mac Allister off a Lionel Messi corner in the 10th minute, but Dan Ndoye equalized in the 67th minute. The match went to extra time, where Argentina prevailed 3-1 with goals from Julián Álvarez and Lautaro Martínez to advance to the semifinals.
Before Argentina vs Switzerland: Regulation Time Moneyline resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Reg Time: Tie: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
