Updated 6 days ago
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.73% on Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: 5.54% or above, 5.5% or above, 5.46% or above, 5.48% or above, 5.66% or above, 5.52% or above, 5.64% or above, 5.56% or above, 5.58% or above, 5.6% or above, 5.62% or aboveon Oct 5, 2026
Before 30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 5.54% or above: 99%, 5.5% or above: 99%, 5.46% or above: 99%, 5.48% or above: 99%, 5.66% or above: 87%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
