Updated 6 days ago
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winners: 4.78% or above, 4.66% or above, 4.74% or above, 4.7% or above, 4.72% or above, 4.76% or above, 4.8% or above, 4.68% or above, 4.82% or above, 4.84% or aboveon Oct 5, 2026
Before 2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 4.78% or above: 99%, 4.66% or above: 99%, 4.74% or above: 99%, 4.7% or above: 99%, 4.72% or above: 98%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
