Updated 6 days ago
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves toΒ Yes.
Winners: 5.15% or above, 5.29% or above, 5.27% or above, 5.19% or above, 5.13% or above, 5.23% or above, 5.17% or above, 5.11% or above, 5.25% or above, 5.21% or above, 5.31% or aboveon Oct 5, 2026
Before 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: 5.15% or above: 99%, 5.29% or above: 99%, 5.27% or above: 99%, 5.19% or above: 99%, 5.13% or above: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No β this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65Β’) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
