| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
K Kevin Warsh | 100%settled | - | - |
J Judy Shelton | 0% |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Compare Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.0pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $74.20M in combined trading volume across 4 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Rick Rieder is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
| - |
K Kevin Hassett | 0%settled | - | - |
R Rick Rieder | 0%settled | - | - |
