| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain | - | 57%settled | - |
D Draw (Uruguay vs. Spain) | - |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Compare Uruguay vs. Spain prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms show similar odds, with an average spread of just 0.0pp. Close agreement often signals strong market consensus. With $21.94M in combined trading volume across 7 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Uruguay wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
 Uruguay | - | 16%settled | - |
G Goal Difference: Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals | 1%settled | - | - |
G Goal Difference: Spain wins by more than 2.5 goals | 1%settled | - | - |
G Goal Difference: Uruguay wins by more than 1.5 goals | 1%settled | - | - |
G Goal Difference: Uruguay wins by more than 2.5 goals | 1%settled | - | - |
