What happened
France defeated Paraguay 1-0 on July 4, 2026 in the World Cup Round of 16 at Philadelphia Stadium, advancing to the quarterfinals for the fourth consecutive World Cup. Kylian Mbappé scored the decisive goal from a 70th-minute penalty kick after Paraguay's Diego Gómez fouled substitute Désiré Doué, with Mbappé converting coolly past goalkeeper Orlando Gill.
Sources: espn.com · espn.com · aljazeera.com · sports.yahoo.com
Written Jul 5, 2026 from news coverage · final prices in the table below
| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
 Reg Time: FranceWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
D |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Paraguay vs. France has resolved with Reg Time: France as the winner. $45.02M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 3 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Tie is the result of the Paraguay vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
0%settled |
0%settled |
| - |
 Reg Time: Paraguay | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
