| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jordan Walker beats Kyle SchwarberWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
Background, methodology, and platform context
MLB Home Run Derby 2026 Winner has resolved with Jordan Walker beats Kyle Schwarber as the winner. $3.58M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 21 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Willson Contreras goes head to head vs Munetaka Murakami in the final round and wins the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
0%settled |
| - |
Jordan Walker beats Junior Caminero | - | 0%settled | - |
J Junior Caminero beats Jordan Walker | - | 0%settled | - |
M Munetaka Murakami beats Kyle Schwarber | - | 0%settled | - |
K Kyle Schwarber beats Munetaka Murakami | - | 0%settled | - |
B Bryce Harper beats Kyle Schwarber | - | 0%settled | - |
B Bryce Harper beats Junior Caminero | - | 0%settled | - |
W Willson Contreras beats Kyle Schwarber | - | 0%settled | - |
W Willson Contreras beats Jordan Walker | - | 0%settled | - |
K Kyle Schwarber beats Willson Contreras | - | 0%settled | - |
K Kyle Schwarber beats Jac Caglianone | - | 0%settled | - |
J Junior Caminero beats Bryce Harper | - | 0%settled | - |
J Junior Caminero beats Willson Contreras | - | 0%settled | - |
 Kyle Schwarber beats Junior Caminero | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
Junior Caminero beats Munetaka Murakami | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
J Junior Caminero beats Kyle Schwarber | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
K Kyle Schwarber beats Bryce Harper | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
Jordan Walker beats Willson Contreras | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
J Jac Caglianone beats Kyle Schwarber | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
B Ben Rice | 0%settled | - | - |
