What happened
Lisa Demuth won Minnesota's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026, with roughly 45% of the vote, defeating Trump-backed Mike Lindell and party-endorsed Kendall Qualls. Markets had priced Demuth at 73% the day before the race. Demuth will face Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar in the November general election, marking her as the first Black major-party nominee for governor in Minnesota history.
Sources: cbsnews.com · fox9.com · nbcnews.com · time.com
Written Aug 12, 2026 from news coverage · final prices in the table below
| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
Lisa DemuthWinner | 100%settled | 100%settled | - |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Minnesota Republican Governor Primary Winner has resolved with Lisa Demuth as the winner. $2.86M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 9 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If Brad Kohler wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
0%settled |
| - |
 Mike Lindell | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
 Scott Jensen | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
 Kendall Qualls | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
 Chris Madel | 0%settled | 0%settled | - |
 Phil Parrish | 0%settled | - | - |
 Kristin Robbins | 0%settled | - | - |
 Patrick Knight | 0%settled | - | - |
