| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
B Bass & RamanWinner | 100%settled | - | - |
K Karen Bass, 4-8%Winner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round? has resolved with Bass & Raman and Karen Bass, 4-8% as the winners. $2.89M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 13 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the margin of victory for Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
S Spencer Pratt wins | - | 0%settled | - |
K Karen Bass, 8-12% | - | 0%settled | - |
K Karen Bass, 0-4% | - | 0%settled | - |
K Karen Bass, ≥20% | - | 0%settled | - |
K Karen Bass, 12-16% | - | 0%settled | - |
N Nithya Raman, 0-4% | - | 0%settled | - |
K Karen Bass, 16-20% | - | 0%settled | - |
N Nithya Raman, 4-8% | - | 0%settled | - |
B Bass & Pratt | 0%settled | - | - |
1 1st Round Outright Winner | 0%settled | - | - |
R Raman & Pratt | 0%settled | - | - |
